Trader consensus on 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 12 high reflects tight ensemble guidance and climatology placing late-monsoon daily maxima near 31–33°C. AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal signals show above-normal mean temperatures offset by below-normal rainfall, which modulates cloud cover and convective cooling that typically limits afternoon peaks. High humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, light steering winds, and possible scattered showers introduce small day-to-day variability without favoring extremes. Historical records confirm August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups, keeping lower and higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated PMD short-range guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 12. August?
33°C 46%
32°C 37%
31°C 9%
34°C 8%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
37%
33°C
46%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
1%
33°C 46%
32°C 37%
31°C 9%
34°C 8%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$397 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$102 Vol.
1%
30°C
$240 Vol.
3%
31°C
$133 Vol.
9%
32°C
$795 Vol.
37%
33°C
$386 Vol.
46%
34°C
$146 Vol.
8%
35°C
$113 Vol.
1%
36°C
$18 Vol.
1%
37°C oder höher
$154 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 12 high reflects tight ensemble guidance and climatology placing late-monsoon daily maxima near 31–33°C. AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal signals show above-normal mean temperatures offset by below-normal rainfall, which modulates cloud cover and convective cooling that typically limits afternoon peaks. High humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, light steering winds, and possible scattered showers introduce small day-to-day variability without favoring extremes. Historical records confirm August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups, keeping lower and higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated PMD short-range guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$2,599Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 12 high reflects tight ensemble guidance and climatology placing late-monsoon daily maxima near 31–33°C. AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal signals show above-normal mean temperatures offset by below-normal rainfall, which modulates cloud cover and convective cooling that typically limits afternoon peaks. High humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, light steering winds, and possible scattered showers introduce small day-to-day variability without favoring extremes. Historical records confirm August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups, keeping lower and higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated PMD short-range guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,599Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 12 high reflects tight ensemble guidance and climatology placing late-monsoon daily maxima near 31–33°C. AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal signals show above-normal mean temperatures offset by below-normal rainfall, which modulates cloud cover and convective cooling that typically limits afternoon peaks. High humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, light steering winds, and possible scattered showers introduce small day-to-day variability without favoring extremes. Historical records confirm August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups, keeping lower and higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated PMD short-range guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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