Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 10. August?
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 27%
32°C 10%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
10%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
27%
37°C
6%
38°C oder höher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 27%
32°C 10%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
2%
30°C
$12 Vol.
3%
31°C
$42 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C
$20 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
27%
36°C
$110 Vol.
27%
37°C
$15 Vol.
6%
38°C oder höher
$7 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$229Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$229Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen