Latest forecast consensus from regional models positions Shenzhen's August 8 maximum near 35–36°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or afternoon showers create the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation from convective activity can suppress peaks while clearer periods allow greater surface heating. These align with typical August climatology, where average highs reach about 32°C but extremes frequently exceed 35°C amid urban heat retention and weak steering patterns. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window will likely refine resolution probabilities between the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 8. August?
36°C 37%
35°C 30%
37°C 17%
34°C 15%
NEU
$14,435 Vol.
NEU
$14,435 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
30°C oder niedriger
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
30%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C oder höher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 30%
37°C 17%
34°C 15%
NEU
$14,435 Vol.
NEU
$14,435 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
30°C oder niedriger
$645 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,120 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,119 Vol.
15%
35°C
$1,563 Vol.
30%
36°C
$1,614 Vol.
37%
37°C
$1,153 Vol.
17%
38°C
$822 Vol.
3%
39°C
$666 Vol.
<1%
40°C oder höher
$2,700 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from regional models positions Shenzhen's August 8 maximum near 35–36°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or afternoon showers create the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation from convective activity can suppress peaks while clearer periods allow greater surface heating. These align with typical August climatology, where average highs reach about 32°C but extremes frequently exceed 35°C amid urban heat retention and weak steering patterns. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window will likely refine resolution probabilities between the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$14,435Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from regional models positions Shenzhen's August 8 maximum near 35–36°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or afternoon showers create the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation from convective activity can suppress peaks while clearer periods allow greater surface heating. These align with typical August climatology, where average highs reach about 32°C but extremes frequently exceed 35°C amid urban heat retention and weak steering patterns. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window will likely refine resolution probabilities between the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,435Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast consensus from regional models positions Shenzhen's August 8 maximum near 35–36°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or afternoon showers create the key uncertainties, as reduced insolation from convective activity can suppress peaks while clearer periods allow greater surface heating. These align with typical August climatology, where average highs reach about 32°C but extremes frequently exceed 35°C amid urban heat retention and weak steering patterns. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window will likely refine resolution probabilities between the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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