Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 7. August?
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 14%
37°C 12.4%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
39%
36°C
27%
37°C
12%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 14%
37°C 12.4%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$557 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$714 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$81 Vol.
1%
33°C
$117 Vol.
4%
34°C
$888 Vol.
14%
35°C
$106 Vol.
39%
36°C
$378 Vol.
27%
37°C
$105 Vol.
12%
38°C
$12 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$1,258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$4,346Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,346Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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