The market for Manila’s peak temperature on August 7, 2026, is shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover and convective activity, which limits surface heating and caps daily maxima near or below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. PAGASA outlooks for the date project 25–31 °C ranges with 80 % rain probability, while recent observations (early August maxima of 30–32 °C under similar conditions) and model consensus reinforce expectations that scattered thunderstorms and high humidity will suppress readings above 30 °C. These factors concentrate implied probability on 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower odds for 30 °C or higher reflecting the monsoon’s stabilizing effect ahead of any potential forecast revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 7. August?
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
29%
29°C
43%
30°C
18%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
2%
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$32 Vol.
2%
26°C
$40 Vol.
3%
27°C
$6 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$17 Vol.
43%
30°C
$7 Vol.
18%
31°C
$2 Vol.
10%
32°C
$25 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market for Manila’s peak temperature on August 7, 2026, is shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover and convective activity, which limits surface heating and caps daily maxima near or below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. PAGASA outlooks for the date project 25–31 °C ranges with 80 % rain probability, while recent observations (early August maxima of 30–32 °C under similar conditions) and model consensus reinforce expectations that scattered thunderstorms and high humidity will suppress readings above 30 °C. These factors concentrate implied probability on 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower odds for 30 °C or higher reflecting the monsoon’s stabilizing effect ahead of any potential forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$149Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market for Manila’s peak temperature on August 7, 2026, is shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover and convective activity, which limits surface heating and caps daily maxima near or below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. PAGASA outlooks for the date project 25–31 °C ranges with 80 % rain probability, while recent observations (early August maxima of 30–32 °C under similar conditions) and model consensus reinforce expectations that scattered thunderstorms and high humidity will suppress readings above 30 °C. These factors concentrate implied probability on 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower odds for 30 °C or higher reflecting the monsoon’s stabilizing effect ahead of any potential forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$149Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market for Manila’s peak temperature on August 7, 2026, is shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover and convective activity, which limits surface heating and caps daily maxima near or below the long-term August average of ~31 °C. PAGASA outlooks for the date project 25–31 °C ranges with 80 % rain probability, while recent observations (early August maxima of 30–32 °C under similar conditions) and model consensus reinforce expectations that scattered thunderstorms and high humidity will suppress readings above 30 °C. These factors concentrate implied probability on 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower odds for 30 °C or higher reflecting the monsoon’s stabilizing effect ahead of any potential forecast revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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