Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 5 clustering near 31–35°C amid typical August monsoon variability, with trader consensus splitting between 35°C and 34°C due to uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and shower timing. In this humid subtropical climate, solar heating, high humidity, and steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high drive maxima, while afternoon convection or light rain can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact land-sea breeze interactions and any tropical moisture influx, with historical August averages near 33°C providing context for the narrow outcome range. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 5. August?
35°C 38%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
33°C 9%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C
9%
34°C
29%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
4%
38°C oder höher
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
33°C 9%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$107 Vol.
2%
31°C
$49 Vol.
6%
32°C
$6 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
9%
34°C
$226 Vol.
29%
35°C
$21 Vol.
38%
36°C
$0 Vol.
22%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 5 clustering near 31–35°C amid typical August monsoon variability, with trader consensus splitting between 35°C and 34°C due to uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and shower timing. In this humid subtropical climate, solar heating, high humidity, and steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high drive maxima, while afternoon convection or light rain can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact land-sea breeze interactions and any tropical moisture influx, with historical August averages near 33°C providing context for the narrow outcome range. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$419Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 5 clustering near 31–35°C amid typical August monsoon variability, with trader consensus splitting between 35°C and 34°C due to uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and shower timing. In this humid subtropical climate, solar heating, high humidity, and steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high drive maxima, while afternoon convection or light rain can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact land-sea breeze interactions and any tropical moisture influx, with historical August averages near 33°C providing context for the narrow outcome range. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$419Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 5 clustering near 31–35°C amid typical August monsoon variability, with trader consensus splitting between 35°C and 34°C due to uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and shower timing. In this humid subtropical climate, solar heating, high humidity, and steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high drive maxima, while afternoon convection or light rain can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact land-sea breeze interactions and any tropical moisture influx, with historical August averages near 33°C providing context for the narrow outcome range. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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