Persistent showers and cloud cover tied to a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are the main driver keeping Hong Kong’s implied maximum on August 3 near 28–29 °C, with those two outcomes holding the largest combined probability. Reduced solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling under humid southeasterly flow limit surface heating below the August climatological mean near 31 °C, while any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation timing could briefly push readings to the higher end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing, leaving traders focused on the next Hong Kong Observatory forecast updates and model runs that will refine land–sea breeze and convective timing ahead of market resolution on the official daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 3. August?
29°C 37%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C
37%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 33%
27°C 17%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$115 Vol.
1%
25°C
$75 Vol.
1%
26°C
$84 Vol.
4%
27°C
$158 Vol.
17%
28°C
$83 Vol.
33%
29°C
$252 Vol.
37%
30°C
$123 Vol.
10%
31°C
$254 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$32 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent showers and cloud cover tied to a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are the main driver keeping Hong Kong’s implied maximum on August 3 near 28–29 °C, with those two outcomes holding the largest combined probability. Reduced solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling under humid southeasterly flow limit surface heating below the August climatological mean near 31 °C, while any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation timing could briefly push readings to the higher end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing, leaving traders focused on the next Hong Kong Observatory forecast updates and model runs that will refine land–sea breeze and convective timing ahead of market resolution on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,351Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent showers and cloud cover tied to a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are the main driver keeping Hong Kong’s implied maximum on August 3 near 28–29 °C, with those two outcomes holding the largest combined probability. Reduced solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling under humid southeasterly flow limit surface heating below the August climatological mean near 31 °C, while any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation timing could briefly push readings to the higher end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing, leaving traders focused on the next Hong Kong Observatory forecast updates and model runs that will refine land–sea breeze and convective timing ahead of market resolution on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,351Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent showers and cloud cover tied to a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are the main driver keeping Hong Kong’s implied maximum on August 3 near 28–29 °C, with those two outcomes holding the largest combined probability. Reduced solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling under humid southeasterly flow limit surface heating below the August climatological mean near 31 °C, while any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation timing could briefly push readings to the higher end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing, leaving traders focused on the next Hong Kong Observatory forecast updates and model runs that will refine land–sea breeze and convective timing ahead of market resolution on the official daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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