Forecast models from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will produce minimum temperatures in central Paris near 20–21 °C on August 3, with light northeasterly winds limiting nocturnal cooling and partly cloudy skies reducing radiative heat loss. Urban heat-island effects and recent daytime highs near 34 °C further support overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 18 °C and 21 °C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C; updated runs expected later today will refine the guidance ahead of the overnight period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 3. August?
20°C 29%
19°C 26%
21°C 20%
18°C 16%
17°C oder darunter
3%
18°C
16%
19°C
26%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
14%
26°C
7%
27°C oder höher
1%
20°C 29%
19°C 26%
21°C 20%
18°C 16%
17°C oder darunter
3%
18°C
16%
19°C
26%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
14%
26°C
7%
27°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will produce minimum temperatures in central Paris near 20–21 °C on August 3, with light northeasterly winds limiting nocturnal cooling and partly cloudy skies reducing radiative heat loss. Urban heat-island effects and recent daytime highs near 34 °C further support overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 18 °C and 21 °C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C; updated runs expected later today will refine the guidance ahead of the overnight period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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