The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 78–79°F high for Los Angeles on July 31, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official monitoring stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and National Weather Service reports. Earlier forecasts anticipated stronger heat dome influences with highs potentially reaching the low 90s, yet actual conditions produced milder readings consistent with marine layer moderation and coastal influences that limited daytime warming. This outcome aligns with historical July variability in the Los Angeles basin, where onshore flows can cap temperatures well below inland projections. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum reported by authoritative sources, leaving little room for alternative outcomes absent measurement revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 31. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 31. Juli?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F oder darunter <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$80,682 Vol.
$80,682 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
71°F oder darunter
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F oder darunter <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$80,682 Vol.
$80,682 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
71°F oder darunter
$719 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,487 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$6,941 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,528 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$18,889 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$12,085 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$9,238 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,482 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,027 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,321 Vol.
<1%
90°F oder höher
$3,965 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 78–79°F high for Los Angeles on July 31, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official monitoring stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and National Weather Service reports. Earlier forecasts anticipated stronger heat dome influences with highs potentially reaching the low 90s, yet actual conditions produced milder readings consistent with marine layer moderation and coastal influences that limited daytime warming. This outcome aligns with historical July variability in the Los Angeles basin, where onshore flows can cap temperatures well below inland projections. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum reported by authoritative sources, leaving little room for alternative outcomes absent measurement revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volumen
$80,682Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 78–79°F high for Los Angeles on July 31, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official monitoring stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and National Weather Service reports. Earlier forecasts anticipated stronger heat dome influences with highs potentially reaching the low 90s, yet actual conditions produced milder readings consistent with marine layer moderation and coastal influences that limited daytime warming. This outcome aligns with historical July variability in the Los Angeles basin, where onshore flows can cap temperatures well below inland projections. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum reported by authoritative sources, leaving little room for alternative outcomes absent measurement revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$80,682Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 78–79°F high for Los Angeles on July 31, 2026, reflects verified observational data from official monitoring stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and National Weather Service reports. Earlier forecasts anticipated stronger heat dome influences with highs potentially reaching the low 90s, yet actual conditions produced milder readings consistent with marine layer moderation and coastal influences that limited daytime warming. This outcome aligns with historical July variability in the Los Angeles basin, where onshore flows can cap temperatures well below inland projections. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum reported by authoritative sources, leaving little room for alternative outcomes absent measurement revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen