Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, urban heat island effects, and typical early-August monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to this outcome as current steering patterns favor partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers that cap intensification, consistent with historical August highs averaging 22–25°C yet frequently reaching the mid-20s during drier spells. Upcoming model updates and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 2. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 2. August?
27°C 49%
28°C 21%
26°C 19%
25°C 7%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
21%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
1%
27°C 49%
28°C 21%
26°C 19%
25°C 7%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$193 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$181 Vol.
1%
24°C
$203 Vol.
3%
25°C
$227 Vol.
7%
26°C
$447 Vol.
19%
27°C
$2,480 Vol.
49%
28°C
$561 Vol.
21%
29°C
$400 Vol.
2%
30°C oder höher
$195 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, urban heat island effects, and typical early-August monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to this outcome as current steering patterns favor partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers that cap intensification, consistent with historical August highs averaging 22–25°C yet frequently reaching the mid-20s during drier spells. Upcoming model updates and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$5,260Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, urban heat island effects, and typical early-August monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to this outcome as current steering patterns favor partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers that cap intensification, consistent with historical August highs averaging 22–25°C yet frequently reaching the mid-20s during drier spells. Upcoming model updates and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,260Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, urban heat island effects, and typical early-August monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to this outcome as current steering patterns favor partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers that cap intensification, consistent with historical August highs averaging 22–25°C yet frequently reaching the mid-20s during drier spells. Upcoming model updates and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen