National Center of Meteorology seasonal outlooks project 1–2 °C above the long-term August average of roughly 38–39 °C for much of Saudi Arabia, including coastal zones, establishing the main driver behind the 44 % market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher for Jeddah on August 3. Persistent high-pressure patterns and minimal Red Sea breeze moderation support daytime maxima frequently reaching or exceeding 40 °C, consistent with AccuWeather and regional model guidance showing 39–41 °C ranges. Recent NCM briefings emphasize sustained heat through early August, with limited short-term cooling expected before resolution. Traders weigh these verified seasonal signals against typical coastal humidity that can cap extremes, while awaiting updated numerical forecasts closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 3. August?
41°C oder höher 45%
40°C 24%
39°C 20%
38°C 6%
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
20%
40°C
24%
41°C oder höher
45%
41°C oder höher 45%
40°C 24%
39°C 20%
38°C 6%
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
20%
40°C
24%
41°C oder höher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Center of Meteorology seasonal outlooks project 1–2 °C above the long-term August average of roughly 38–39 °C for much of Saudi Arabia, including coastal zones, establishing the main driver behind the 44 % market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher for Jeddah on August 3. Persistent high-pressure patterns and minimal Red Sea breeze moderation support daytime maxima frequently reaching or exceeding 40 °C, consistent with AccuWeather and regional model guidance showing 39–41 °C ranges. Recent NCM briefings emphasize sustained heat through early August, with limited short-term cooling expected before resolution. Traders weigh these verified seasonal signals against typical coastal humidity that can cap extremes, while awaiting updated numerical forecasts closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen