Recent model runs for Chengdu show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 3, with ensemble guidance split between modest convection limiting insolation and clearer conditions allowing stronger surface warming in the Sichuan basin. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture support scattered showers that cap temperatures near 31–32 °C, while subsidence or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34 °C. Historical early-August climatology centers near 32 °C, yet interannual variability from ENSO-modulated circulation and local urban heat-island effects keeps the 31–34 °C range tightly contested among traders. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 3. August?
33°C 29%
32°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
29%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
2%
33°C 29%
32°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$27 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$33 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
3%
29°C
$19 Vol.
7%
30°C
$10 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C
$13 Vol.
29%
34°C
$20 Vol.
12%
35°C
$20 Vol.
4%
36°C oder höher
$59 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chengdu show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 3, with ensemble guidance split between modest convection limiting insolation and clearer conditions allowing stronger surface warming in the Sichuan basin. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture support scattered showers that cap temperatures near 31–32 °C, while subsidence or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34 °C. Historical early-August climatology centers near 32 °C, yet interannual variability from ENSO-modulated circulation and local urban heat-island effects keeps the 31–34 °C range tightly contested among traders. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$210Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chengdu show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 3, with ensemble guidance split between modest convection limiting insolation and clearer conditions allowing stronger surface warming in the Sichuan basin. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture support scattered showers that cap temperatures near 31–32 °C, while subsidence or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34 °C. Historical early-August climatology centers near 32 °C, yet interannual variability from ENSO-modulated circulation and local urban heat-island effects keeps the 31–34 °C range tightly contested among traders. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$210Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Chengdu show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 3, with ensemble guidance split between modest convection limiting insolation and clearer conditions allowing stronger surface warming in the Sichuan basin. High humidity and typical monsoon moisture support scattered showers that cap temperatures near 31–32 °C, while subsidence or delayed rainfall could push readings to 33–34 °C. Historical early-August climatology centers near 32 °C, yet interannual variability from ENSO-modulated circulation and local urban heat-island effects keeps the 31–34 °C range tightly contested among traders. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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