**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 3. August?
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
20%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 20%
32°C 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$276 Vol.
1%
27°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$219 Vol.
4%
29°C
$152 Vol.
20%
30°C
$556 Vol.
35%
31°C
$246 Vol.
34%
32°C
$10 Vol.
14%
33°C
$1,166 Vol.
2%
34°C
$32 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities.
Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$3,165Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities.
Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,165Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High pressure building across southern England is steering warmer air northward ahead of August 3, supporting maximum temperatures in the low 30s°C over London.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a daytime high of 31°C under predominantly clear skies, consistent with the near-even split between the 30°C (31.0%) and 31°C (30.5%) market outcomes and the secondary 29°C (18.5%) and 32°C (15.5%) probabilities. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Summer 2026 has already run 2–3°C above the long-term average across England, so the current setup represents a continuation of above-normal conditions rather than an outlier event. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that tighten or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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