Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and YR.no positions maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 5 at 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A cooling trend follows peak readings near 32°C on August 3 and 29°C on August 4, driven by a shift to more moderate westerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This places the expected high modestly above the early-August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C while remaining well below extremes seen earlier in the week. Short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on 24–26°C resolution, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 5. August?
25°C 42%
24°C 24%
23°C 23%
26°C 20%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23°C
23%
24°C
24%
25°C
42%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 24%
23°C 23%
26°C 20%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
7%
22°C
$52 Vol.
16%
23°C
$17 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$6 Vol.
42%
26°C
$24 Vol.
21%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C
$10 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and YR.no positions maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 5 at 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A cooling trend follows peak readings near 32°C on August 3 and 29°C on August 4, driven by a shift to more moderate westerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This places the expected high modestly above the early-August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C while remaining well below extremes seen earlier in the week. Short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on 24–26°C resolution, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$124Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and YR.no positions maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 5 at 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A cooling trend follows peak readings near 32°C on August 3 and 29°C on August 4, driven by a shift to more moderate westerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This places the expected high modestly above the early-August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C while remaining well below extremes seen earlier in the week. Short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on 24–26°C resolution, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$124Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and YR.no positions maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 5 at 24–25°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A cooling trend follows peak readings near 32°C on August 3 and 29°C on August 4, driven by a shift to more moderate westerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This places the expected high modestly above the early-August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C while remaining well below extremes seen earlier in the week. Short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on 24–26°C resolution, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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