Recent forecast guidance from regional models and observational trends points to peak temperatures in Shenzhen on August 6 clustering near 33–34 °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and limited daytime mixing under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers—common in the region’s humid monsoon regime—can cap insolation and shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings, while clearer intervals or delayed sea-breeze onset allow brief warming spikes toward 34 °C. Ensemble spread in guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models underscores this narrow range, with historical August baselines near 32 °C providing context for the modest upward bias traders currently price. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine boundary-layer details and any tropical moisture influx that could alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 6. August?
34°C 40%
33°C 32%
32°C 17%
35°C 5.7%
NEU
$13,799 Vol.
NEU
$13,799 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
17%
33°C
32%
34°C
40%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 40%
33°C 32%
32°C 17%
35°C 5.7%
NEU
$13,799 Vol.
NEU
$13,799 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$48 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$365 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,081 Vol.
3%
32°C
$72 Vol.
17%
33°C
$2,151 Vol.
32%
34°C
$925 Vol.
40%
35°C
$4,785 Vol.
6%
36°C
$1,995 Vol.
2%
37°C
$189 Vol.
1%
38°C oder höher
$1,144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and observational trends points to peak temperatures in Shenzhen on August 6 clustering near 33–34 °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and limited daytime mixing under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers—common in the region’s humid monsoon regime—can cap insolation and shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings, while clearer intervals or delayed sea-breeze onset allow brief warming spikes toward 34 °C. Ensemble spread in guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models underscores this narrow range, with historical August baselines near 32 °C providing context for the modest upward bias traders currently price. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine boundary-layer details and any tropical moisture influx that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$13,799Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and observational trends points to peak temperatures in Shenzhen on August 6 clustering near 33–34 °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and limited daytime mixing under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers—common in the region’s humid monsoon regime—can cap insolation and shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings, while clearer intervals or delayed sea-breeze onset allow brief warming spikes toward 34 °C. Ensemble spread in guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models underscores this narrow range, with historical August baselines near 32 °C providing context for the modest upward bias traders currently price. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine boundary-layer details and any tropical moisture influx that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,799Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models and observational trends points to peak temperatures in Shenzhen on August 6 clustering near 33–34 °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and limited daytime mixing under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers—common in the region’s humid monsoon regime—can cap insolation and shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings, while clearer intervals or delayed sea-breeze onset allow brief warming spikes toward 34 °C. Ensemble spread in guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models underscores this narrow range, with historical August baselines near 32 °C providing context for the modest upward bias traders currently price. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine boundary-layer details and any tropical moisture influx that could alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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