Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and regional models, indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 6 will likely reach 28–30°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that promote clear skies and moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with climatological averages for early August, where daily highs commonly peak near 28–29°C amid the region's Mediterranean regime of warm, stable air masses with limited cloud cover or precipitation. No significant synoptic shifts, such as incoming troughs or enhanced moisture, appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated around the market leaders at 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine any minor deviations driven by local sea-breeze effects or slight wind variations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 6. August?
28°C 52%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and regional models, indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 6 will likely reach 28–30°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that promote clear skies and moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with climatological averages for early August, where daily highs commonly peak near 28–29°C amid the region's Mediterranean regime of warm, stable air masses with limited cloud cover or precipitation. No significant synoptic shifts, such as incoming troughs or enhanced moisture, appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated around the market leaders at 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine any minor deviations driven by local sea-breeze effects or slight wind variations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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