Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 6. August?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 14%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
29°C oder weniger
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
14%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 14%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
29°C oder weniger
$641 Vol.
2%
30°C
$278 Vol.
3%
31°C
$998 Vol.
14%
32°C
$443 Vol.
31%
33°C
$3,215 Vol.
35%
34°C
$932 Vol.
14%
35°C
$800 Vol.
5%
36°C
$98 Vol.
1%
37°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
39°C oder höher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$8,217Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,217Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen