Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 39–41°C in Jeddah on August 6, reflecting National Center of Meteorology guidance for seasonal heat 1–2°C above the long-term August average of roughly 37–38°C. Persistent high solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and weak Red Sea breeze moderation support daytime maxima in this band, with coastal humidity limiting further spikes. Recent model consensus shows no major cooling signals ahead of the date, while historical analogs confirm August extremes rarely exceed 42°C in Jeddah. The market’s concentration around these outcomes aligns with verified observational trends and the absence of disruptive weather systems that could alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 6. August?
40°C 39%
41°C 23%
39°C 17%
42°C oder höher 17%
32°C oder niedriger
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
9%
39°C
17%
40°C
39%
41°C
23%
42°C oder höher
17%
40°C 39%
41°C 23%
39°C 17%
42°C oder höher 17%
32°C oder niedriger
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
9%
39°C
17%
40°C
39%
41°C
23%
42°C oder höher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 39–41°C in Jeddah on August 6, reflecting National Center of Meteorology guidance for seasonal heat 1–2°C above the long-term August average of roughly 37–38°C. Persistent high solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and weak Red Sea breeze moderation support daytime maxima in this band, with coastal humidity limiting further spikes. Recent model consensus shows no major cooling signals ahead of the date, while historical analogs confirm August extremes rarely exceed 42°C in Jeddah. The market’s concentration around these outcomes aligns with verified observational trends and the absence of disruptive weather systems that could alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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