Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 4, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining clear skies, light winds, and high humidity typical of midsummer. Incheon’s coastal location provides modest moderation compared with inland Seoul, narrowing the spread among leading outcomes while historical August averages of 29–31°C underscore the elevated heat. Model consensus remains tight but will shift with the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs expected over the next 48 hours, directly influencing trader weighting toward the 34–36°C cluster.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 4. August?
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$184 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$107 Vol.
1%
30°C
$153 Vol.
1%
31°C
$156 Vol.
2%
32°C
$175 Vol.
6%
33°C
$148 Vol.
18%
34°C
$116 Vol.
29%
35°C
$118 Vol.
27%
36°C
$506 Vol.
24%
37°C
$386 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$76 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 4, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining clear skies, light winds, and high humidity typical of midsummer. Incheon’s coastal location provides modest moderation compared with inland Seoul, narrowing the spread among leading outcomes while historical August averages of 29–31°C underscore the elevated heat. Model consensus remains tight but will shift with the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs expected over the next 48 hours, directly influencing trader weighting toward the 34–36°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,125Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 4, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining clear skies, light winds, and high humidity typical of midsummer. Incheon’s coastal location provides modest moderation compared with inland Seoul, narrowing the spread among leading outcomes while historical August averages of 29–31°C underscore the elevated heat. Model consensus remains tight but will shift with the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs expected over the next 48 hours, directly influencing trader weighting toward the 34–36°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,125Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 4, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining clear skies, light winds, and high humidity typical of midsummer. Incheon’s coastal location provides modest moderation compared with inland Seoul, narrowing the spread among leading outcomes while historical August averages of 29–31°C underscore the elevated heat. Model consensus remains tight but will shift with the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs expected over the next 48 hours, directly influencing trader weighting toward the 34–36°C cluster.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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