Latest Met Office guidance points to sunny intervals and a maximum of 22–23 °C across London on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes. This follows several days of warmer highs near 25–30 °C earlier in the week, with high pressure giving way to a cooler, more typical late-summer air mass. Seasonal climatology supports the same range, as August averages hover near 22–23 °C, while ensemble models show limited upside potential for 24 °C or higher. Traders have therefore concentrated probability in the narrow 22–24 °C band, reflecting both the current forecast consensus and the narrow resolution window for tomorrow’s official reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 6. August?
23°C 49%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
25°C 4%
$21,019 Vol.
$21,019 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
25°C 4%
$21,019 Vol.
$21,019 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to sunny intervals and a maximum of 22–23 °C across London on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes. This follows several days of warmer highs near 25–30 °C earlier in the week, with high pressure giving way to a cooler, more typical late-summer air mass. Seasonal climatology supports the same range, as August averages hover near 22–23 °C, while ensemble models show limited upside potential for 24 °C or higher. Traders have therefore concentrated probability in the narrow 22–24 °C band, reflecting both the current forecast consensus and the narrow resolution window for tomorrow’s official reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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