Recent numerical weather models and Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 6 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late summer. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and limited model spread, positioning 32°C as the dominant outcome while allowing modest probability for 33°C if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Low odds for extremes reflect the absence of anomalous ridging or heat advection, with dry conditions and seasonal norms further supporting the current trader weighting. Final model runs and observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 6. August?
32°C 63%
33°C 24%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
63%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
33°C 24%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$787 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$383 Vol.
1%
31°C
$766 Vol.
6%
32°C
$2,529 Vol.
63%
33°C
$526 Vol.
24%
34°C
$732 Vol.
5%
35°C
$784 Vol.
1%
36°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models and Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 6 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late summer. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and limited model spread, positioning 32°C as the dominant outcome while allowing modest probability for 33°C if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Low odds for extremes reflect the absence of anomalous ridging or heat advection, with dry conditions and seasonal norms further supporting the current trader weighting. Final model runs and observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$8,576Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models and Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 6 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late summer. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and limited model spread, positioning 32°C as the dominant outcome while allowing modest probability for 33°C if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Low odds for extremes reflect the absence of anomalous ridging or heat advection, with dry conditions and seasonal norms further supporting the current trader weighting. Final model runs and observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,576Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models and Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 6 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late summer. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and limited model spread, positioning 32°C as the dominant outcome while allowing modest probability for 33°C if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Low odds for extremes reflect the absence of anomalous ridging or heat advection, with dry conditions and seasonal norms further supporting the current trader weighting. Final model runs and observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near the market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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