**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7, 2026, under typical summer high-pressure conditions with abundant sunshine and light westerly winds.** This aligns closely with the long-term August climatology for the coastal city, where average highs reach 30–31°C (86–89°F) due to Mediterranean moderation from sea breezes that limit extreme heat compared to inland areas. Models show minimal day-to-day variability in the near term, with no significant heatwave, Saharan air intrusion, or cloud cover expected to shift temperatures substantially. Trader consensus reflected in the market—56.5% on 32°C, 30.5% on 31°C, and 13.5% on 33°C—captures the narrow uncertainty band around this baseline, as ensemble guidance clusters tightly without strong signals for outliers. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced stable conditions, keeping probabilities anchored near the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Upcoming official Israel Meteorological Service briefings and refined short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could adjust implied probabilities if any subtle steering changes emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 7. August?
32°C 56%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
34°C 2%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
31%
32°C
56%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
34°C 2%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$581 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
2%
30°C
$109 Vol.
2%
31°C
$67 Vol.
31%
32°C
$934 Vol.
56%
33°C
$67 Vol.
14%
34°C
$56 Vol.
2%
35°C
$34 Vol.
2%
36°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7, 2026, under typical summer high-pressure conditions with abundant sunshine and light westerly winds.** This aligns closely with the long-term August climatology for the coastal city, where average highs reach 30–31°C (86–89°F) due to Mediterranean moderation from sea breezes that limit extreme heat compared to inland areas. Models show minimal day-to-day variability in the near term, with no significant heatwave, Saharan air intrusion, or cloud cover expected to shift temperatures substantially.
Trader consensus reflected in the market—56.5% on 32°C, 30.5% on 31°C, and 13.5% on 33°C—captures the narrow uncertainty band around this baseline, as ensemble guidance clusters tightly without strong signals for outliers. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced stable conditions, keeping probabilities anchored near the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Upcoming official Israel Meteorological Service briefings and refined short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could adjust implied probabilities if any subtle steering changes emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,131Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7, 2026, under typical summer high-pressure conditions with abundant sunshine and light westerly winds.** This aligns closely with the long-term August climatology for the coastal city, where average highs reach 30–31°C (86–89°F) due to Mediterranean moderation from sea breezes that limit extreme heat compared to inland areas. Models show minimal day-to-day variability in the near term, with no significant heatwave, Saharan air intrusion, or cloud cover expected to shift temperatures substantially.
Trader consensus reflected in the market—56.5% on 32°C, 30.5% on 31°C, and 13.5% on 33°C—captures the narrow uncertainty band around this baseline, as ensemble guidance clusters tightly without strong signals for outliers. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced stable conditions, keeping probabilities anchored near the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Upcoming official Israel Meteorological Service briefings and refined short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could adjust implied probabilities if any subtle steering changes emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,131Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including timeanddate and AccuWeather, indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 7, 2026, under typical summer high-pressure conditions with abundant sunshine and light westerly winds.** This aligns closely with the long-term August climatology for the coastal city, where average highs reach 30–31°C (86–89°F) due to Mediterranean moderation from sea breezes that limit extreme heat compared to inland areas. Models show minimal day-to-day variability in the near term, with no significant heatwave, Saharan air intrusion, or cloud cover expected to shift temperatures substantially. Trader consensus reflected in the market—56.5% on 32°C, 30.5% on 31°C, and 13.5% on 33°C—captures the narrow uncertainty band around this baseline, as ensemble guidance clusters tightly without strong signals for outliers. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced stable conditions, keeping probabilities anchored near the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Upcoming official Israel Meteorological Service briefings and refined short-range forecasts in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could adjust implied probabilities if any subtle steering changes emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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