**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on 27°C and 28°C as the clear frontrunners, reflecting official forecast consensus for an overnight low in that narrow range amid ongoing summer heat.** Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models shows daytime highs of 35–36°C persisting into early August, with minimal overnight radiative cooling expected under humid, partly cloudy conditions typical of the post-monsoon period. Nighttime minima are projected at 27–28°C because urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, combined with high humidity and light winds, trap warmth near the surface—consistent with observed recent lows and seasonal baselines elevated by the current heat pattern. No significant cold advection or widespread precipitation is indicated in the latest model runs that would drop temperatures below this band, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes. The market’s implied odds align closely with the spread of authoritative forecasts, underscoring how real-time meteorological data on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions shape trader positioning ahead of the morning observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 6. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 6. August?
27°C 53%
28°C 38%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
53%
28°C
38%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 53%
28°C 38%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$115 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$428 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,419 Vol.
53%
28°C
$559 Vol.
38%
29°C
$489 Vol.
6%
30°C
$251 Vol.
1%
31°C
$140 Vol.
1%
32°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on 27°C and 28°C as the clear frontrunners, reflecting official forecast consensus for an overnight low in that narrow range amid ongoing summer heat.**
Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models shows daytime highs of 35–36°C persisting into early August, with minimal overnight radiative cooling expected under humid, partly cloudy conditions typical of the post-monsoon period. Nighttime minima are projected at 27–28°C because urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, combined with high humidity and light winds, trap warmth near the surface—consistent with observed recent lows and seasonal baselines elevated by the current heat pattern.
No significant cold advection or widespread precipitation is indicated in the latest model runs that would drop temperatures below this band, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes. The market’s implied odds align closely with the spread of authoritative forecasts, underscoring how real-time meteorological data on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions shape trader positioning ahead of the morning observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,404Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on 27°C and 28°C as the clear frontrunners, reflecting official forecast consensus for an overnight low in that narrow range amid ongoing summer heat.**
Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models shows daytime highs of 35–36°C persisting into early August, with minimal overnight radiative cooling expected under humid, partly cloudy conditions typical of the post-monsoon period. Nighttime minima are projected at 27–28°C because urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, combined with high humidity and light winds, trap warmth near the surface—consistent with observed recent lows and seasonal baselines elevated by the current heat pattern.
No significant cold advection or widespread precipitation is indicated in the latest model runs that would drop temperatures below this band, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes. The market’s implied odds align closely with the spread of authoritative forecasts, underscoring how real-time meteorological data on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions shape trader positioning ahead of the morning observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,404Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on 27°C and 28°C as the clear frontrunners, reflecting official forecast consensus for an overnight low in that narrow range amid ongoing summer heat.** Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models shows daytime highs of 35–36°C persisting into early August, with minimal overnight radiative cooling expected under humid, partly cloudy conditions typical of the post-monsoon period. Nighttime minima are projected at 27–28°C because urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon metro area, combined with high humidity and light winds, trap warmth near the surface—consistent with observed recent lows and seasonal baselines elevated by the current heat pattern. No significant cold advection or widespread precipitation is indicated in the latest model runs that would drop temperatures below this band, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes. The market’s implied odds align closely with the spread of authoritative forecasts, underscoring how real-time meteorological data on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions shape trader positioning ahead of the morning observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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