Current weather models from sources including AccuWeather and European forecast centers project Moscow’s August 9 maximum near 22–23 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong advection of warmer air. This consensus aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (49.5 % for 22 °C, 36.5 % for 23 °C) while assigning sharply lower odds to outcomes above 24 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, limiting upside risk, though any last-minute shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the observed high by 1 °C before markets close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 9. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 9. August?
22°C 50%
23°C 37%
21°C 11%
24°C 4%
NEU
$12,153 Vol.
NEU
$12,153 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
11%
22°C
50%
23°C
37%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 37%
21°C 11%
24°C 4%
NEU
$12,153 Vol.
NEU
$12,153 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$422 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$543 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,069 Vol.
11%
22°C
$3,496 Vol.
50%
23°C
$3,195 Vol.
37%
24°C
$1,258 Vol.
4%
25°C
$486 Vol.
1%
26°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from sources including AccuWeather and European forecast centers project Moscow’s August 9 maximum near 22–23 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong advection of warmer air. This consensus aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (49.5 % for 22 °C, 36.5 % for 23 °C) while assigning sharply lower odds to outcomes above 24 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, limiting upside risk, though any last-minute shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the observed high by 1 °C before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$12,153Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from sources including AccuWeather and European forecast centers project Moscow’s August 9 maximum near 22–23 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong advection of warmer air. This consensus aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (49.5 % for 22 °C, 36.5 % for 23 °C) while assigning sharply lower odds to outcomes above 24 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, limiting upside risk, though any last-minute shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the observed high by 1 °C before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,153Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from sources including AccuWeather and European forecast centers project Moscow’s August 9 maximum near 22–23 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong advection of warmer air. This consensus aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (49.5 % for 22 °C, 36.5 % for 23 °C) while assigning sharply lower odds to outcomes above 24 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, limiting upside risk, though any last-minute shift in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the observed high by 1 °C before markets close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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