**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and elevated humidity, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and positioning 33–34°C as the dominant outcomes for August 8.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and extended model consensus point to near-normal maxima around 31–33°C amid typical early-August rainfall patterns, with limited daytime heating from reduced solar insolation. Recent forecasts show slight day-to-day variability, supporting the market’s modest tilt toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 33°C (29.5%), while probabilities drop sharply above 35°C or below 32°C. Historical climatology reinforces this range, as August averages hover near 32°C with frequent monsoon moderation. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 8. August?
34°C 51%
33°C 30%
35°C 14%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
30%
34°C
51%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
2%
34°C 51%
33°C 30%
35°C 14%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$419 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$185 Vol.
1%
31°C
$187 Vol.
3%
32°C
$401 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,225 Vol.
30%
34°C
$957 Vol.
51%
35°C
$654 Vol.
14%
36°C or higher
$253 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and elevated humidity, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and positioning 33–34°C as the dominant outcomes for August 8.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and extended model consensus point to near-normal maxima around 31–33°C amid typical early-August rainfall patterns, with limited daytime heating from reduced solar insolation. Recent forecasts show slight day-to-day variability, supporting the market’s modest tilt toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 33°C (29.5%), while probabilities drop sharply above 35°C or below 32°C. Historical climatology reinforces this range, as August averages hover near 32°C with frequent monsoon moderation. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,631Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and elevated humidity, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and positioning 33–34°C as the dominant outcomes for August 8.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and extended model consensus point to near-normal maxima around 31–33°C amid typical early-August rainfall patterns, with limited daytime heating from reduced solar insolation. Recent forecasts show slight day-to-day variability, supporting the market’s modest tilt toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 33°C (29.5%), while probabilities drop sharply above 35°C or below 32°C. Historical climatology reinforces this range, as August averages hover near 32°C with frequent monsoon moderation. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,631Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and elevated humidity, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and positioning 33–34°C as the dominant outcomes for August 8.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and extended model consensus point to near-normal maxima around 31–33°C amid typical early-August rainfall patterns, with limited daytime heating from reduced solar insolation. Recent forecasts show slight day-to-day variability, supporting the market’s modest tilt toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 33°C (29.5%), while probabilities drop sharply above 35°C or below 32°C. Historical climatology reinforces this range, as August averages hover near 32°C with frequent monsoon moderation. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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