Recent forecast model consensus from European centers points to persistent high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term August average of 28–29 °C for Istanbul. Subtle differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the strength of the urban heat island effect, exact timing of any sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and minor variations in low-level moisture that could enhance or suppress daytime warming. Broader 2026 summer patterns show anomalous warmth across central and eastern Europe linked to blocking highs, yet local resolution criteria depend on official maximum readings at representative stations. Updated short-range model runs and next-day observations will likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 8. August?
29°C 43%
28°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 11%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
36%
29°C
43%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C oder höher
2%
29°C 43%
28°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 11%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$131 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$49 Vol.
1%
26°C
$106 Vol.
2%
27°C
$137 Vol.
12%
28°C
$45 Vol.
36%
29°C
$96 Vol.
43%
30°C
$44 Vol.
11%
31°C
$50 Vol.
2%
32°C
$37 Vol.
1%
33°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European centers points to persistent high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term August average of 28–29 °C for Istanbul. Subtle differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the strength of the urban heat island effect, exact timing of any sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and minor variations in low-level moisture that could enhance or suppress daytime warming. Broader 2026 summer patterns show anomalous warmth across central and eastern Europe linked to blocking highs, yet local resolution criteria depend on official maximum readings at representative stations. Updated short-range model runs and next-day observations will likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$785Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European centers points to persistent high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term August average of 28–29 °C for Istanbul. Subtle differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the strength of the urban heat island effect, exact timing of any sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and minor variations in low-level moisture that could enhance or suppress daytime warming. Broader 2026 summer patterns show anomalous warmth across central and eastern Europe linked to blocking highs, yet local resolution criteria depend on official maximum readings at representative stations. Updated short-range model runs and next-day observations will likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$785Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European centers points to persistent high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting afternoon highs near the long-term August average of 28–29 °C for Istanbul. Subtle differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the strength of the urban heat island effect, exact timing of any sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and minor variations in low-level moisture that could enhance or suppress daytime warming. Broader 2026 summer patterns show anomalous warmth across central and eastern Europe linked to blocking highs, yet local resolution criteria depend on official maximum readings at representative stations. Updated short-range model runs and next-day observations will likely tighten the narrow spread between the two leading probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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