Current Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 6 project daytime highs of 27–34°C under typical summer conditions, positioning 34–36°C as the most probable range for the daily maximum. Market-implied odds favor 35°C and 36°C because historical August peaks in the region often exceed official guidance due to urban heat effects, afternoon solar heating, and short-term model variability in humidity and cloud cover. Recent days have seen peaks reaching 36°C, reinforcing trader expectations that conditions could again surpass the baseline forecast. Upcoming CWA updates and refined model runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. August?
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 17%
37°C 4%
$15,724 Vol.
$15,724 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
17%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 17%
37°C 4%
$15,724 Vol.
$15,724 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
17%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 6 project daytime highs of 27–34°C under typical summer conditions, positioning 34–36°C as the most probable range for the daily maximum. Market-implied odds favor 35°C and 36°C because historical August peaks in the region often exceed official guidance due to urban heat effects, afternoon solar heating, and short-term model variability in humidity and cloud cover. Recent days have seen peaks reaching 36°C, reinforcing trader expectations that conditions could again surpass the baseline forecast. Upcoming CWA updates and refined model runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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