Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 7 project a daytime maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy conditions with potential afternoon showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes. Ensemble model consensus and recent analogs from early August heat episodes—where readings reached 36°C on August 1—introduce modest upside risk from urban heat retention and variable cloud cover, while northeasterly flow and higher humidity typically cap intensification. Short-range guidance shows limited spread in maximum temperatures, yet any shift in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could tip the peak across the 35°C threshold before official station verification resolves the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 7. August?
35°C 34%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
34%
36°C
14%
37°C oder höher
4%
35°C 34%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
34%
36°C
14%
37°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 7 project a daytime maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy conditions with potential afternoon showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes. Ensemble model consensus and recent analogs from early August heat episodes—where readings reached 36°C on August 1—introduce modest upside risk from urban heat retention and variable cloud cover, while northeasterly flow and higher humidity typically cap intensification. Short-range guidance shows limited spread in maximum temperatures, yet any shift in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could tip the peak across the 35°C threshold before official station verification resolves the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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