Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on August 8, driven by typical early-August radiative cooling overnight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15°C, positioning the 13–15°C outcomes as market favorites at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95%. Recent model runs show modest cooling potential from a stable high-pressure influence, though urban heat-island effects and any increase in cloud cover or humidity could nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 2–3°C around the mean, with resolution depending on official station data from Paris-Montsouris.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 8. August?
14°C 49%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
12°C 9%
11°C oder darunter
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
6%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 49%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
12°C 9%
11°C oder darunter
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
6%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on August 8, driven by typical early-August radiative cooling overnight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15°C, positioning the 13–15°C outcomes as market favorites at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95%. Recent model runs show modest cooling potential from a stable high-pressure influence, though urban heat-island effects and any increase in cloud cover or humidity could nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 2–3°C around the mean, with resolution depending on official station data from Paris-Montsouris.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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