Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates Hong Kong's August 7 maximum will likely fall between 33–34 °C, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent moisture from recent heavy rainfall episodes is expected to limit full insolation while elevated humidity and light winds reduce daytime cooling, keeping readings close to the upper end of the August climatological range of 31–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and cloud timing across ensemble runs create the primary uncertainty separating 33 °C from 34 °C, with any earlier clearing or stronger sea-breeze circulation favoring the lower figure. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 7. August?
34°C 41%
33°C 36%
35°C 12%
32°C 8%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
36%
34°C
41%
35°C
12%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 36%
35°C 12%
32°C 8%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$147 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$291 Vol.
1%
31°C
$478 Vol.
4%
32°C
$493 Vol.
8%
33°C
$1,094 Vol.
36%
34°C
$816 Vol.
41%
35°C
$1,543 Vol.
12%
36°C
$726 Vol.
6%
37°C
$599 Vol.
2%
38°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates Hong Kong's August 7 maximum will likely fall between 33–34 °C, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent moisture from recent heavy rainfall episodes is expected to limit full insolation while elevated humidity and light winds reduce daytime cooling, keeping readings close to the upper end of the August climatological range of 31–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and cloud timing across ensemble runs create the primary uncertainty separating 33 °C from 34 °C, with any earlier clearing or stronger sea-breeze circulation favoring the lower figure. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$7,671Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates Hong Kong's August 7 maximum will likely fall between 33–34 °C, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent moisture from recent heavy rainfall episodes is expected to limit full insolation while elevated humidity and light winds reduce daytime cooling, keeping readings close to the upper end of the August climatological range of 31–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and cloud timing across ensemble runs create the primary uncertainty separating 33 °C from 34 °C, with any earlier clearing or stronger sea-breeze circulation favoring the lower figure. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,671Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates Hong Kong's August 7 maximum will likely fall between 33–34 °C, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent moisture from recent heavy rainfall episodes is expected to limit full insolation while elevated humidity and light winds reduce daytime cooling, keeping readings close to the upper end of the August climatological range of 31–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and cloud timing across ensemble runs create the primary uncertainty separating 33 °C from 34 °C, with any earlier clearing or stronger sea-breeze circulation favoring the lower figure. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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