Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including MetService and international runs points to a highest temperature of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 6, with subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, wind strength from the southerly quarter, and timing of any weak frontal passage driving the tight market split. Near-average winter conditions for the region, per NIWA outlooks, feature typical August maxima around 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has narrowed uncertainty around daytime maxima, while resolution hinges on official observations at the Wellington aero site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 6. August?
11°C 49%
10°C 42%
12°C 10%
9°C 2%
NEU
$17,325 Vol.
NEU
$17,325 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
42%
11°C
49%
12°C
10%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
10°C 42%
12°C 10%
9°C 2%
NEU
$17,325 Vol.
NEU
$17,325 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,398 Vol.
1%
9°C
$1,936 Vol.
2%
10°C
$3,157 Vol.
42%
11°C
$3,611 Vol.
49%
12°C
$3,446 Vol.
10%
13°C
$1,695 Vol.
1%
14°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including MetService and international runs points to a highest temperature of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 6, with subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, wind strength from the southerly quarter, and timing of any weak frontal passage driving the tight market split. Near-average winter conditions for the region, per NIWA outlooks, feature typical August maxima around 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has narrowed uncertainty around daytime maxima, while resolution hinges on official observations at the Wellington aero site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$17,325Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including MetService and international runs points to a highest temperature of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 6, with subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, wind strength from the southerly quarter, and timing of any weak frontal passage driving the tight market split. Near-average winter conditions for the region, per NIWA outlooks, feature typical August maxima around 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has narrowed uncertainty around daytime maxima, while resolution hinges on official observations at the Wellington aero site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,325Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including MetService and international runs points to a highest temperature of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 6, with subtle differences in simulated cloud cover, wind strength from the southerly quarter, and timing of any weak frontal passage driving the tight market split. Near-average winter conditions for the region, per NIWA outlooks, feature typical August maxima around 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients favor slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has narrowed uncertainty around daytime maxima, while resolution hinges on official observations at the Wellington aero site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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