Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a most likely daily maximum near 27°C in Munich on August 7, driven by modest surface heating under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in timing and coverage of thundery showers, which could cap temperatures at 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to reach 28°C. Current conditions show no persistent heat dome or blocking pattern, keeping extremes below 30°C improbable while rendering sub-24°C outcomes unlikely absent stronger advection of cooler maritime air. Traders weigh updated runs from DWD ICON and ECMWF against climatological August highs near 23–25°C, with resolution hinging on observed peak between 0600–1800 UTC.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 7. August?
27°C 35%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a most likely daily maximum near 27°C in Munich on August 7, driven by modest surface heating under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in timing and coverage of thundery showers, which could cap temperatures at 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to reach 28°C. Current conditions show no persistent heat dome or blocking pattern, keeping extremes below 30°C improbable while rendering sub-24°C outcomes unlikely absent stronger advection of cooler maritime air. Traders weigh updated runs from DWD ICON and ECMWF against climatological August highs near 23–25°C, with resolution hinging on observed peak between 0600–1800 UTC.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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