Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 8 project a daytime maximum of 28–31°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which is expected to limit solar heating and convective buildup compared with typical midsummer conditions. These dynamics align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 32°C or higher (39.5%), 30°C (23.0%), and 31°C (20.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling potential from precipitation and reduced insolation while still acknowledging residual heat in the urban basin. Historical August baselines near 33–34°C provide context, yet current model consensus and observed moisture trends have tempered expectations for peak readings. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon observations will be the primary near-term drivers of any further shifts in these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 8. August?
32°C or higher 40%
30°C 22%
31°C 21%
29°C 14%
NEU
$40,449 Vol.
NEU
$40,449 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
22%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
40%
32°C or higher 40%
30°C 22%
31°C 21%
29°C 14%
NEU
$40,449 Vol.
NEU
$40,449 Vol.
8. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$795 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,998 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,064 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,060 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,943 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5,659 Vol.
14%
30°C
$4,763 Vol.
22%
31°C
$3,955 Vol.
21%
32°C or higher
$8,614 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 8 project a daytime maximum of 28–31°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which is expected to limit solar heating and convective buildup compared with typical midsummer conditions. These dynamics align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 32°C or higher (39.5%), 30°C (23.0%), and 31°C (20.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling potential from precipitation and reduced insolation while still acknowledging residual heat in the urban basin. Historical August baselines near 33–34°C provide context, yet current model consensus and observed moisture trends have tempered expectations for peak readings. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon observations will be the primary near-term drivers of any further shifts in these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$40,449Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 8 project a daytime maximum of 28–31°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which is expected to limit solar heating and convective buildup compared with typical midsummer conditions. These dynamics align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 32°C or higher (39.5%), 30°C (23.0%), and 31°C (20.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling potential from precipitation and reduced insolation while still acknowledging residual heat in the urban basin. Historical August baselines near 33–34°C provide context, yet current model consensus and observed moisture trends have tempered expectations for peak readings. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon observations will be the primary near-term drivers of any further shifts in these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,449Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 8 project a daytime maximum of 28–31°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin, which is expected to limit solar heating and convective buildup compared with typical midsummer conditions. These dynamics align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 32°C or higher (39.5%), 30°C (23.0%), and 31°C (20.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling potential from precipitation and reduced insolation while still acknowledging residual heat in the urban basin. Historical August baselines near 33–34°C provide context, yet current model consensus and observed moisture trends have tempered expectations for peak readings. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon observations will be the primary near-term drivers of any further shifts in these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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