Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate converge on a maximum of 36–37°C for Wuhan on August 8 under sunny to partly cloudy conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate typically produces August daily highs averaging near 32–33°C, though peaks frequently reach 35–38°C during the monsoon season’s hottest phase. Recent observations show similar temperatures (35°C range) with low precipitation chances, limiting cooling from cloud cover or storms. Model consensus and historical analogs support limited upside risk above 38°C or downside below 35°C absent an unexpected frontal system. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 8. August?
37°C 37%
36°C 25%
38°C 13%
35°C 12%
31°C oder weniger
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
25%
37°C
37%
38°C
13%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C oder höher
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C 25%
38°C 13%
35°C 12%
31°C oder weniger
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
25%
37°C
37%
38°C
13%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate converge on a maximum of 36–37°C for Wuhan on August 8 under sunny to partly cloudy conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate typically produces August daily highs averaging near 32–33°C, though peaks frequently reach 35–38°C during the monsoon season’s hottest phase. Recent observations show similar temperatures (35°C range) with low precipitation chances, limiting cooling from cloud cover or storms. Model consensus and historical analogs support limited upside risk above 38°C or downside below 35°C absent an unexpected frontal system. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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