Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 87°F for Central Park on August 6 amid southwesterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating. These conditions create tight clustering around the 86–91°F brackets, with traders weighting the balance between modest subsidence warming and convective cooling or cloud cover. Broader August outlooks favor above-normal temperatures relative to the 83°F climatological average, yet short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keep resolution thresholds finely balanced and sensitive to the next model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 6. August?
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 6%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 6%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 87°F for Central Park on August 6 amid southwesterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating. These conditions create tight clustering around the 86–91°F brackets, with traders weighting the balance between modest subsidence warming and convective cooling or cloud cover. Broader August outlooks favor above-normal temperatures relative to the 83°F climatological average, yet short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keep resolution thresholds finely balanced and sensitive to the next model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen