Current numerical weather prediction models and short-range ensemble consensus indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 10 will most likely reach 24–25°C under moderating high-pressure conditions and light winds following warmer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 20–23°C daytime highs, with recent cooling trends driven by a shift in steering patterns reducing warm advection from the south. Forecast guidance shows minimal model spread around these values, though afternoon cloud cover or localized showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of 24–25°C outcomes most heavily given the proximity to the observation window and stable guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 10. August?
24°C 45%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
26°C 6%
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
45%
25°C
31%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
26°C 6%
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
45%
25°C
31%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and short-range ensemble consensus indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 10 will most likely reach 24–25°C under moderating high-pressure conditions and light winds following warmer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 20–23°C daytime highs, with recent cooling trends driven by a shift in steering patterns reducing warm advection from the south. Forecast guidance shows minimal model spread around these values, though afternoon cloud cover or localized showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of 24–25°C outcomes most heavily given the proximity to the observation window and stable guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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