Recent short-term forecasts for Hong Kong on August 9, 2026, indicate maximum temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius, with several models projecting 35–37°C under typical summer subtropical conditions. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook, issued July 30, calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral status. Urban heat island effects in the dense city amplify daytime peaks, while high humidity and variable cloud cover or brief showers introduce uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Market-implied odds favoring 35°C reflect this model consensus and historical August baselines near 31°C, tempered by potential for brief intensification or cooling from regional weather patterns before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 9. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 9. August?
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
37°C 16%
34°C 13%
NEU
$15,080 Vol.
NEU
$15,080 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
39%
36°C
27%
37°C
16%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
37°C 16%
34°C 13%
NEU
$15,080 Vol.
NEU
$15,080 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,154 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,363 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,367 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,116 Vol.
39%
36°C
$1,648 Vol.
27%
37°C
$1,541 Vol.
16%
38°C
$1,806 Vol.
4%
39°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-term forecasts for Hong Kong on August 9, 2026, indicate maximum temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius, with several models projecting 35–37°C under typical summer subtropical conditions. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook, issued July 30, calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral status. Urban heat island effects in the dense city amplify daytime peaks, while high humidity and variable cloud cover or brief showers introduce uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Market-implied odds favoring 35°C reflect this model consensus and historical August baselines near 31°C, tempered by potential for brief intensification or cooling from regional weather patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$15,080Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-term forecasts for Hong Kong on August 9, 2026, indicate maximum temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius, with several models projecting 35–37°C under typical summer subtropical conditions. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook, issued July 30, calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral status. Urban heat island effects in the dense city amplify daytime peaks, while high humidity and variable cloud cover or brief showers introduce uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Market-implied odds favoring 35°C reflect this model consensus and historical August baselines near 31°C, tempered by potential for brief intensification or cooling from regional weather patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,080Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Hong Kong on August 9, 2026, indicate maximum temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius, with several models projecting 35–37°C under typical summer subtropical conditions. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October seasonal outlook, issued July 30, calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid a long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral status. Urban heat island effects in the dense city amplify daytime peaks, while high humidity and variable cloud cover or brief showers introduce uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Market-implied odds favoring 35°C reflect this model consensus and historical August baselines near 31°C, tempered by potential for brief intensification or cooling from regional weather patterns before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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