Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Beijing on August 8, 2026, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. The primary drivers include the seasonal transition after Liqiu (around August 7–8), which typically brings modest cooling, combined with expected cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak heating. Official observations will come from Beijing’s urban stations under standard WMO protocols. Model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns, though small shifts in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture could differentiate 31°C from 33°C. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily as resolution approaches within hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 8. August?
32°C 28%
33°C 18%
31°C 18%
30°C 14%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
18%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C oder höher
1%
32°C 28%
33°C 18%
31°C 18%
30°C 14%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$694 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,065 Vol.
1%
28°C
$168 Vol.
2%
29°C
$227 Vol.
5%
30°C
$466 Vol.
14%
31°C
$225 Vol.
18%
32°C
$538 Vol.
28%
33°C
$746 Vol.
18%
34°C
$345 Vol.
8%
35°C
$176 Vol.
5%
36°C oder höher
$610 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Beijing on August 8, 2026, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. The primary drivers include the seasonal transition after Liqiu (around August 7–8), which typically brings modest cooling, combined with expected cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak heating. Official observations will come from Beijing’s urban stations under standard WMO protocols. Model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns, though small shifts in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture could differentiate 31°C from 33°C. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily as resolution approaches within hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$5,213Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Beijing on August 8, 2026, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. The primary drivers include the seasonal transition after Liqiu (around August 7–8), which typically brings modest cooling, combined with expected cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak heating. Official observations will come from Beijing’s urban stations under standard WMO protocols. Model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns, though small shifts in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture could differentiate 31°C from 33°C. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily as resolution approaches within hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,213Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Beijing on August 8, 2026, directly supporting the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. The primary drivers include the seasonal transition after Liqiu (around August 7–8), which typically brings modest cooling, combined with expected cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak heating. Official observations will come from Beijing’s urban stations under standard WMO protocols. Model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns, though small shifts in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture could differentiate 31°C from 33°C. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance most heavily as resolution approaches within hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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