Official NWS forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks favoring above-average temperatures for the month. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects uncertainty in peak timing, local heat island effects at Central Park, and potential model adjustments from diurnal heating or reduced cloud cover. Humidity levels supporting heat indices near 95°F add volatility, while historical August normals of 83°F and recent above-average trends provide context for why odds cluster tightly between 88–93°F rather than extremes. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 7. August?
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 22%
94-95°F 7%
NEU
$31,251 Vol.
NEU
$31,251 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 22%
94-95°F 7%
NEU
$31,251 Vol.
NEU
$31,251 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
81°F or below
$491 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,824 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$3,438 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,134 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$3,375 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$6,618 Vol.
37%
92-93°F
$5,297 Vol.
28%
94-95°F
$2,218 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$4,498 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$820 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$538 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks favoring above-average temperatures for the month. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects uncertainty in peak timing, local heat island effects at Central Park, and potential model adjustments from diurnal heating or reduced cloud cover. Humidity levels supporting heat indices near 95°F add volatility, while historical August normals of 83°F and recent above-average trends provide context for why odds cluster tightly between 88–93°F rather than extremes. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$31,251Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks favoring above-average temperatures for the month. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects uncertainty in peak timing, local heat island effects at Central Park, and potential model adjustments from diurnal heating or reduced cloud cover. Humidity levels supporting heat indices near 95°F add volatility, while historical August normals of 83°F and recent above-average trends provide context for why odds cluster tightly between 88–93°F rather than extremes. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,251Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with broader seasonal outlooks favoring above-average temperatures for the month. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects uncertainty in peak timing, local heat island effects at Central Park, and potential model adjustments from diurnal heating or reduced cloud cover. Humidity levels supporting heat indices near 95°F add volatility, while historical August normals of 83°F and recent above-average trends provide context for why odds cluster tightly between 88–93°F rather than extremes. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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