Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with Milan expected to reach a daily maximum near 34–35 °C on August 12. This aligns with the current multi-day heat spell, where observed highs have already touched 35 °C under clear skies and light winds. Historical August averages for the city hover around 28–30 °C, so the projected anomaly reflects suppressed cloud cover and warm advection from the south rather than an extreme outlier. Model consensus remains tight on these values, with limited spread that keeps 36 °C or higher at low implied probability; the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins will refine any boundary-layer details before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 12. August?
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
33°C 13%
36°C 10%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
42%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
33°C 13%
36°C 10%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$6 Vol.
4%
33°C
$56 Vol.
13%
34°C
$133 Vol.
29%
35°C
$140 Vol.
42%
36°C
$114 Vol.
10%
37°C
$10 Vol.
3%
38°C
$12 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with Milan expected to reach a daily maximum near 34–35 °C on August 12. This aligns with the current multi-day heat spell, where observed highs have already touched 35 °C under clear skies and light winds. Historical August averages for the city hover around 28–30 °C, so the projected anomaly reflects suppressed cloud cover and warm advection from the south rather than an extreme outlier. Model consensus remains tight on these values, with limited spread that keeps 36 °C or higher at low implied probability; the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins will refine any boundary-layer details before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$519Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with Milan expected to reach a daily maximum near 34–35 °C on August 12. This aligns with the current multi-day heat spell, where observed highs have already touched 35 °C under clear skies and light winds. Historical August averages for the city hover around 28–30 °C, so the projected anomaly reflects suppressed cloud cover and warm advection from the south rather than an extreme outlier. Model consensus remains tight on these values, with limited spread that keeps 36 °C or higher at low implied probability; the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins will refine any boundary-layer details before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$519Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with Milan expected to reach a daily maximum near 34–35 °C on August 12. This aligns with the current multi-day heat spell, where observed highs have already touched 35 °C under clear skies and light winds. Historical August averages for the city hover around 28–30 °C, so the projected anomaly reflects suppressed cloud cover and warm advection from the south rather than an extreme outlier. Model consensus remains tight on these values, with limited spread that keeps 36 °C or higher at low implied probability; the next high-resolution runs and official bulletins will refine any boundary-layer details before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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