Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and European agencies point to a persistent heat dome and subtropical high-pressure ridge sustaining elevated temperatures across northern Italy, with Milan under nationwide red alerts amid the summer’s fourth major heatwave. Official guidance shows daytime maxima clustering near 35–39 °C for 11 August, consistent with the market’s leading 36 °C (44 %) and 37 °C (26.5 %) outcomes; warmer scenarios above 38 °C remain possible if the ridge holds but carry lower implied odds given expected modest cooling from Atlantic flow. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have tightened the consensus range while underscoring typical model spread for Po Valley sensible heat under these synoptic conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 11. August?
36°C 37%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 11%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
12%
36°C
44%
37°C
29%
38°C
13%
39°C
4%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 11%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
32°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C
$5 Vol.
12%
36°C
$33 Vol.
44%
37°C
$0 Vol.
29%
38°C
$16 Vol.
13%
39°C
$255 Vol.
4%
40°C
$10 Vol.
4%
41°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and European agencies point to a persistent heat dome and subtropical high-pressure ridge sustaining elevated temperatures across northern Italy, with Milan under nationwide red alerts amid the summer’s fourth major heatwave. Official guidance shows daytime maxima clustering near 35–39 °C for 11 August, consistent with the market’s leading 36 °C (44 %) and 37 °C (26.5 %) outcomes; warmer scenarios above 38 °C remain possible if the ridge holds but carry lower implied odds given expected modest cooling from Atlantic flow. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have tightened the consensus range while underscoring typical model spread for Po Valley sensible heat under these synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$351Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and European agencies point to a persistent heat dome and subtropical high-pressure ridge sustaining elevated temperatures across northern Italy, with Milan under nationwide red alerts amid the summer’s fourth major heatwave. Official guidance shows daytime maxima clustering near 35–39 °C for 11 August, consistent with the market’s leading 36 °C (44 %) and 37 °C (26.5 %) outcomes; warmer scenarios above 38 °C remain possible if the ridge holds but carry lower implied odds given expected modest cooling from Atlantic flow. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have tightened the consensus range while underscoring typical model spread for Po Valley sensible heat under these synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$351Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and European agencies point to a persistent heat dome and subtropical high-pressure ridge sustaining elevated temperatures across northern Italy, with Milan under nationwide red alerts amid the summer’s fourth major heatwave. Official guidance shows daytime maxima clustering near 35–39 °C for 11 August, consistent with the market’s leading 36 °C (44 %) and 37 °C (26.5 %) outcomes; warmer scenarios above 38 °C remain possible if the ridge holds but carry lower implied odds given expected modest cooling from Atlantic flow. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have tightened the consensus range while underscoring typical model spread for Po Valley sensible heat under these synoptic conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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