Recent European model consensus, including runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF, places Munich’s maximum on August 11 near 30–32 °C under a broad high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, yet small forecast spreads in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective initiation create roughly equal implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh historical August maxima against the narrow uncertainty range still present two days ahead, with any late-model shift in cloud timing or wind speed likely to decide the final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 11. August?
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
30°C 13%
29°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
33%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
30°C 13%
29°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$12 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$1 Vol.
34%
32°C
$0 Vol.
33%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$12 Vol.
3%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C oder höher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF, places Munich’s maximum on August 11 near 30–32 °C under a broad high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, yet small forecast spreads in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective initiation create roughly equal implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh historical August maxima against the narrow uncertainty range still present two days ahead, with any late-model shift in cloud timing or wind speed likely to decide the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$64Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF, places Munich’s maximum on August 11 near 30–32 °C under a broad high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, yet small forecast spreads in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective initiation create roughly equal implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh historical August maxima against the narrow uncertainty range still present two days ahead, with any late-model shift in cloud timing or wind speed likely to decide the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$64Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF, places Munich’s maximum on August 11 near 30–32 °C under a broad high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, yet small forecast spreads in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective initiation create roughly equal implied probabilities for 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh historical August maxima against the narrow uncertainty range still present two days ahead, with any late-model shift in cloud timing or wind speed likely to decide the final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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