Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service show a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast supporting peak temperatures in the upper 80s for New York City on August 13. Ensemble guidance indicates consensus around 86–89°F, with small spreads driven by afternoon dew points near 70°F, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover that could limit or enhance insolation. August climatology places normal highs near 84–85°F, but recent above-average warmth has shifted trader focus toward the 88–89°F outcome. The next model cycle and official observations at Central Park will determine resolution within the narrow temperature bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 13. August?
88-89°F 37%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 9%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 37%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 9%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service show a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast supporting peak temperatures in the upper 80s for New York City on August 13. Ensemble guidance indicates consensus around 86–89°F, with small spreads driven by afternoon dew points near 70°F, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover that could limit or enhance insolation. August climatology places normal highs near 84–85°F, but recent above-average warmth has shifted trader focus toward the 88–89°F outcome. The next model cycle and official observations at Central Park will determine resolution within the narrow temperature bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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