Recent National Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance indicate that persistent on-shore flow and a shallow marine layer are moderating coastal temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport, the official measurement site, keeping daily maxima near seasonal norms of 76–80 °F rather than allowing stronger inland heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited afternoon warming potential due to southwesterly winds and patchy low clouds, creating a narrow spread that places the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins nearly even in trader pricing. Any late-day clearing or slight model shift in wind strength could tip the outcome between these two bins, while probabilities for 80 °F or higher remain low absent a stronger offshore component. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 11. August?
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 6%
69°F oder niedriger
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 6%
69°F oder niedriger
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance indicate that persistent on-shore flow and a shallow marine layer are moderating coastal temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport, the official measurement site, keeping daily maxima near seasonal norms of 76–80 °F rather than allowing stronger inland heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited afternoon warming potential due to southwesterly winds and patchy low clouds, creating a narrow spread that places the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins nearly even in trader pricing. Any late-day clearing or slight model shift in wind strength could tip the outcome between these two bins, while probabilities for 80 °F or higher remain low absent a stronger offshore component. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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