Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 14, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A strong El Niño event currently strengthening across the Pacific is elevating seasonal baselines across southern China, while local steering patterns, subtropical high positioning, and possible monsoon-related showers introduce day-to-day variability. Historical August averages hover near 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity modulating observed peaks at official stations. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine land–sea breeze and precipitation timing, sharpening the distribution between 32°C and 34°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 14. August?
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
35°C 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
20%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C oder höher
1%
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
35°C 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$129 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$339 Vol.
5%
30°C
$137 Vol.
4%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C
$29 Vol.
25%
33°C
$76 Vol.
33%
34°C
$80 Vol.
20%
35°C
$47 Vol.
9%
36°C
$65 Vol.
4%
37°C oder höher
$161 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 14, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A strong El Niño event currently strengthening across the Pacific is elevating seasonal baselines across southern China, while local steering patterns, subtropical high positioning, and possible monsoon-related showers introduce day-to-day variability. Historical August averages hover near 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity modulating observed peaks at official stations. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine land–sea breeze and precipitation timing, sharpening the distribution between 32°C and 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,388Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 14, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A strong El Niño event currently strengthening across the Pacific is elevating seasonal baselines across southern China, while local steering patterns, subtropical high positioning, and possible monsoon-related showers introduce day-to-day variability. Historical August averages hover near 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity modulating observed peaks at official stations. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine land–sea breeze and precipitation timing, sharpening the distribution between 32°C and 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,388Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on August 14, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A strong El Niño event currently strengthening across the Pacific is elevating seasonal baselines across southern China, while local steering patterns, subtropical high positioning, and possible monsoon-related showers introduce day-to-day variability. Historical August averages hover near 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and humidity modulating observed peaks at official stations. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine land–sea breeze and precipitation timing, sharpening the distribution between 32°C and 34°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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