Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under a typical late-summer heat pattern support official NWS guidance for an Austin high near 100°F on August 14, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances favoring strong daytime heating. Trader consensus splitting probability between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects model spread on the timing and extent of any afternoon convective debris or slight moisture increases that could cap temperatures just below forecast values. Historical August averages near 99°F and the absence of significant frontal passages keep upside risk to 100–101°F modest at 12%, while drier conditions and radiative forcing make sub-96°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 14. August?
98-99°F 39%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F oder höher
1%
98-99°F 39%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
87°F or below
$12 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$27 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$34 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$19 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$44 Vol.
32%
98-99°F
$218 Vol.
39%
100-101°F
$53 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$2 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$125 Vol.
3%
106°F oder höher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under a typical late-summer heat pattern support official NWS guidance for an Austin high near 100°F on August 14, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances favoring strong daytime heating. Trader consensus splitting probability between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects model spread on the timing and extent of any afternoon convective debris or slight moisture increases that could cap temperatures just below forecast values. Historical August averages near 99°F and the absence of significant frontal passages keep upside risk to 100–101°F modest at 12%, while drier conditions and radiative forcing make sub-96°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$572Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under a typical late-summer heat pattern support official NWS guidance for an Austin high near 100°F on August 14, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances favoring strong daytime heating. Trader consensus splitting probability between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects model spread on the timing and extent of any afternoon convective debris or slight moisture increases that could cap temperatures just below forecast values. Historical August averages near 99°F and the absence of significant frontal passages keep upside risk to 100–101°F modest at 12%, while drier conditions and radiative forcing make sub-96°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$572Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under a typical late-summer heat pattern support official NWS guidance for an Austin high near 100°F on August 14, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances favoring strong daytime heating. Trader consensus splitting probability between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects model spread on the timing and extent of any afternoon convective debris or slight moisture increases that could cap temperatures just below forecast values. Historical August averages near 99°F and the absence of significant frontal passages keep upside risk to 100–101°F modest at 12%, while drier conditions and radiative forcing make sub-96°F outcomes unlikely absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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