Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. August?
30°C 40%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
40%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$209 Vol.
1%
27°C
$635 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,021 Vol.
13%
29°C
$1,813 Vol.
33%
30°C
$655 Vol.
40%
31°C
$831 Vol.
16%
32°C
$220 Vol.
3%
33°C
$155 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$6,250Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,250Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms moderating Shanghai’s August 13 high, producing tight market-implied odds favoring 29–30 °C. Persistent summer monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating below the long-term August average of 31–32 °C, while steering patterns keep any stronger warming suppressed. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether convective activity holds temperatures at or below 30 °C or allows a brief spike toward 31 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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