Recent forecast models indicate a likely maximum of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, with market odds clustered around these outcomes due to competing guidance on high-pressure ridging and cool northerly flow. Official sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles show daytime highs tempered by increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation, consistent with climatological August averages near 22°C but reflecting a cooler anomaly this period. Key variables include model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and wind direction, with updated runs expected from NCEP and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow resolution criteria around the daily peak reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 13. August?
16°C 35%
17°C 26%
15°C 23%
14°C 11%
12°C oder niedriger
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
23%
16°C
35%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
1%
16°C 35%
17°C 26%
15°C 23%
14°C 11%
12°C oder niedriger
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
23%
16°C
35%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a likely maximum of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, with market odds clustered around these outcomes due to competing guidance on high-pressure ridging and cool northerly flow. Official sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles show daytime highs tempered by increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation, consistent with climatological August averages near 22°C but reflecting a cooler anomaly this period. Key variables include model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and wind direction, with updated runs expected from NCEP and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow resolution criteria around the daily peak reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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