Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance and regional model runs point to a Central Park high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 14, with southwesterly flow, strong late-summer insolation, and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s tight split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Traders weigh the balance of dry boundary-layer warming against modest afternoon convection or increased moisture that could cap readings near 85°F, while climatological norms near 83–84°F provide baseline context for upside potential. Updated short-range forecasts and any revised NHC or local office guidance ahead of the diurnal peak will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 14. August?
86-87°F 38%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 11%
90-91°F 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 38%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 11%
90-91°F 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
81°F or below
$15 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$346 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$78 Vol.
38%
88-89°F
$81 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$94 Vol.
10%
92-93°F
$313 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$32 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance and regional model runs point to a Central Park high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 14, with southwesterly flow, strong late-summer insolation, and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s tight split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Traders weigh the balance of dry boundary-layer warming against modest afternoon convection or increased moisture that could cap readings near 85°F, while climatological norms near 83–84°F provide baseline context for upside potential. Updated short-range forecasts and any revised NHC or local office guidance ahead of the diurnal peak will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$974Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance and regional model runs point to a Central Park high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 14, with southwesterly flow, strong late-summer insolation, and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s tight split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Traders weigh the balance of dry boundary-layer warming against modest afternoon convection or increased moisture that could cap readings near 85°F, while climatological norms near 83–84°F provide baseline context for upside potential. Updated short-range forecasts and any revised NHC or local office guidance ahead of the diurnal peak will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$974Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance and regional model runs point to a Central Park high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 14, with southwesterly flow, strong late-summer insolation, and limited cloud cover supporting the market’s tight split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Traders weigh the balance of dry boundary-layer warming against modest afternoon convection or increased moisture that could cap readings near 85°F, while climatological norms near 83–84°F provide baseline context for upside potential. Updated short-range forecasts and any revised NHC or local office guidance ahead of the diurnal peak will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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