Stable subtropical high-pressure patterns over southeastern Brazil are anchoring trader consensus near 24–25°C for São Paulo’s August 12 maximum, consistent with climatological winter averages of 23–25°C. Regional model runs indicate suppressed convection and modest insolation under clear to partly cloudy skies, limiting upward temperature variance while urban heat-island effects and light northeasterly flow provide minor boosts. The tight 34.5 % / 31.5 % split between 24 °C and 25 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; final INMET station readings will resolve the market once diurnal heating peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 12. August?
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 20%
23°C 8%
$22,987 Vol.
$22,987 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 20%
23°C 8%
$22,987 Vol.
$22,987 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable subtropical high-pressure patterns over southeastern Brazil are anchoring trader consensus near 24–25°C for São Paulo’s August 12 maximum, consistent with climatological winter averages of 23–25°C. Regional model runs indicate suppressed convection and modest insolation under clear to partly cloudy skies, limiting upward temperature variance while urban heat-island effects and light northeasterly flow provide minor boosts. The tight 34.5 % / 31.5 % split between 24 °C and 25 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; final INMET station readings will resolve the market once diurnal heating peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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